Flevo Boys vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
61.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flevo Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
FLE
2 - 3
CAP
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 2
FLE
59%
22%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
FLE
1 - 1
APE
46%
24%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
HAR
1 - 2
FLE
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
FLE
0 - 0
EXC
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
VIT
0 - 0
NAC
32%
26%
43%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
SCH
2 - 1
VIT
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
FEY
4 - 0
VIT
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
VIT
0 - 3
TWE
24%
26%
50%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
AJA
4 - 2
VIT
83%
12%
5%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |