US Fleury-Merogis vs ES Wasquehal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
8º
2º
34
6º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LUS
0 - 1
FLE
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FLE
0 - 0
BIE
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
COL
1 - 3
FLE
27%
26%
47%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FLE
0 - 1
FEI
65%
22%
13%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 4
FLE
60%
22%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
ES Wasquehal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BIE
2 - 0
ESW
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ESW
0 - 1
FEI
45%
26%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
ESW
2 - 1
BRC
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 3
ESW
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ESW
1 - 1
MAC
54%
23%
24%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |