US Fleury-Merogis vs Furiani Agliani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
19%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
4º
2º
19
7º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 63 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 62 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 50 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 48 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 47 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 45 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 42 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 39 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 30 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 27 |
14º
|
29.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 23 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 22 |
16º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
40.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
59.5% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AUB
0 - 0
FLE
17%
24%
60%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
FLE
2 - 0
SPI
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 2
FLE
21%
25%
55%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
REI
2 - 0
FLE
74%
18%
8%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FUR
0 - 1
FLE
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Furiani Agliani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FUR
2 - 0
ASB
47%
28%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
4 - 0
FUR
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FUR
2 - 0
THL
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
FUR
63%
23%
14%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FUR
0 - 1
FLE
31%
27%
42%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |