US Fleury-Merogis vs Colmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
8º
2º
31
8º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FEI
1 - 3
FLE
14%
22%
64%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FLE
0 - 1
BOU
31%
27%
43%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 3
FLE
17%
23%
61%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FLE
0 - 0
FUR
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
VER
3 - 1
FLE
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Colmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
COL
1 - 1
BOU
23%
25%
52%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FUR
0 - 0
COL
45%
26%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
COL
2 - 3
OLY
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
AUX
3 - 0
COL
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
COL
4 - 1
BOB
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |