US Fleury-Merogis vs Chambly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
4º
1º
23
3º
14º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
32 | 60 |
1º
|
44% | |
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 48 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 48 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 44 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 43 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 43 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 43 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 39 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 38 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 35 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 31 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 27 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 19 |
16º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
44% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
56% | 98% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
FLE
3 - 0
AUB
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
FLE
0 - 2
BOB
44%
27%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BIE
1 - 1
FLE
16%
23%
61%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 0
ASB
68%
21%
11%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 0
FLE
26%
25%
50%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Chambly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
VHO
2 - 3
CHA
24%
25%
51%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BAL
2 - 1
CHA
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
CHA
2 - 1
THL
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
CHA
71%
18%
10%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ESW
0 - 0
CHA
20%
24%
57%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |