US Fleury-Merogis vs Bobigny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
4º
2º
39
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
39 | 63 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 62 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 50 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 48 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 47 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 45 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 42 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 39 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 30 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 27 |
14º
|
29.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 23 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 22 |
16º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
40.5% | 57.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
59.5% | 42.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BIE
1 - 1
FLE
16%
23%
61%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 0
ASB
68%
21%
11%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 0
FLE
26%
25%
50%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 1
AMI
20%
22%
59%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
FLE
2 - 1
THL
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Bobigny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
LUS
1 - 3
BOB
27%
26%
47%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
BOB
0 - 1
ANG
15%
21%
64%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 2
BOB
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
BOB
1 - 0
THL
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BOB
2 - 2
RED
19%
21%
60%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |