FC Flérien vs Ergué-Gaberic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
14.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
7º
13º
9º
14
6º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
30 | 54 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 53 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 46 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 43 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 43 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 41 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 33 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 32 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 31 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 28 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
14 | 26 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 26 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 25 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 25 |
14º
|
18% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
65% | 21% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
28% | 68% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Flérien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CES
1 - 1
FLE
35%
22%
43%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 1
LOR
21%
23%
55%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FLE
2 - 0
CHA
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AGC
2 - 1
FLE
51%
21%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 1
OIS
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ergué-Gaberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ERG
1 - 3
LOR
17%
23%
60%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SAI
1 - 0
ERG
62%
19%
19%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
USF
2 - 3
ERG
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ERG
0 - 3
SPM
19%
20%
61%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LAT
6 - 2
ERG
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |