Flensburg 08 vs Todesfelde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flensburg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
FLE
0 - 1
TUR
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
KRO
0 - 4
FLE
58%
21%
21%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
FLE
3 - 1
HAR
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
HEI
5 - 0
FLE
32%
25%
43%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
FLE
1 - 1
ALT
54%
22%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Todesfelde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
TOD
7 - 1
HEI
77%
14%
8%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
TUR
1 - 1
TOD
39%
23%
38%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
ALT
4 - 2
TOD
64%
19%
18%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
TOD
0 - 3
PRE
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
KRO
4 - 0
TOD
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |