Flensburg 08 vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
64.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flensburg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
HOL
3 - 0
FLE
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
FLE
50%
21%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
FLE
2 - 2
NTS
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SCH
1 - 3
FLE
21%
21%
58%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
FLE
2 - 0
HEI
86%
10%
4%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
LUB
4 - 0
TOD
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
LUB
2 - 0
HUS
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ALT
3 - 6
LUB
15%
21%
65%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
LUB
5 - 2
HEI
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
PRE
0 - 6
LUB
15%
22%
63%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |