Flensburg 08 vs Kilia Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
3.59
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.6%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.7%
4.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flensburg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
HUL
0 - 3
FLE
32%
21%
47%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
FLE
6 - 2
TOD
37%
22%
41%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
FLE
2 - 3
FLE
75%
14%
11%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
FLE
5 - 1
REH
88%
8%
4%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
TUR
3 - 1
FLE
25%
22%
53%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Kilia Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
KIL
1 - 2
ALT
16%
18%
65%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
PRE
1 - 2
KIL
63%
19%
18%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
KIL
0 - 2
HEI
21%
21%
58%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 1
KIL
72%
15%
12%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
KIL
2 - 3
OLD
27%
22%
51%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |