Flensburg 08 vs Kilia Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flensburg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ECK
2 - 2
FLE
24%
24%
51%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
NTS
0 - 4
FLE
32%
25%
43%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
FLE
2 - 3
ITZ
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
HUL
1 - 1
FLE
30%
25%
45%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
FLE
3 - 0
ALT
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Kilia Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
KIL
1 - 1
ECK
32%
25%
43%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
HUS
3 - 0
KIL
45%
24%
32%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
LUB
5 - 0
KIL
66%
19%
15%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
KIL
2 - 5
VFR
68%
19%
14%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
HEI
1 - 1
KIL
79%
14%
7%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | +1 |