Flensburg 08 vs Itzehoe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
6.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flensburg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 6
FLE
36%
24%
40%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
FLE
1 - 3
ECK
58%
22%
21%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
KRO
1 - 1
FLE
38%
24%
37%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FLE
2 - 6
HUL
43%
24%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
LUB
2 - 3
FLE
27%
24%
49%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Itzehoe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ITZ
0 - 3
EIC
14%
21%
65%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ITZ
1 - 2
WEI
14%
20%
66%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
UNI
5 - 1
ITZ
72%
17%
12%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
ITZ
1 - 2
ECK
21%
23%
57%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
HOL
3 - 0
ITZ
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 36 | 26 | 0 |