Flensburg 08 vs Holstein Kiel II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
36.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flensburg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 2
FLE
13%
18%
69%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
FLE
3 - 3
UNI
64%
18%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
HEI
1 - 0
FLE
14%
19%
67%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
FLE
5 - 0
HEI
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
PRE
4 - 2
FLE
28%
23%
49%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
HOL
3 - 1
TUR
86%
9%
5%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
KRO
2 - 4
HOL
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
HOL
0 - 3
LUB
26%
24%
50%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
HUS
3 - 2
HOL
17%
20%
64%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
HOL
2 - 2
ALT
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |