Flensburg 08 vs Heider SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flensburg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
PRE
4 - 2
FLE
28%
23%
49%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
FLE
1 - 4
DOR
82%
12%
7%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
FLE
3 - 2
SCH
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
NTS
1 - 3
FLE
28%
23%
49%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
FLE
5 - 0
DOR
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
HEI
1 - 0
TUR
57%
22%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
KRO
5 - 2
HEI
76%
16%
9%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
HUS
1 - 1
HEI
52%
21%
27%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
HEI
0 - 3
LUB
11%
21%
69%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
KRO
2 - 1
HEI
75%
16%
9%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |