Flensburg 08 vs Hartenholm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
8.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flensburg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
HEI
4 - 2
FLE
32%
24%
45%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
HOL
2 - 3
FLE
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
FLE
3 - 3
PRE
64%
18%
18%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
ALT
4 - 2
FLE
43%
22%
35%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
FLE
5 - 2
BOR
90%
7%
3%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Hartenholm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
HAR
51%
23%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 1
ALT
26%
23%
51%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 2
HEI
40%
24%
35%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
HAR
2 - 0
PRE
26%
23%
51%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 2
ALT
29%
23%
48%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |