Flensburg 08 vs Hagen Ahrensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flensburg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2013 |
FLE
2 - 1
NTS
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
FLE
5 - 1
HUL
83%
11%
5%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
HEI
1 - 1
FLE
24%
23%
53%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
SCH
3 - 5
FLE
11%
18%
71%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
FLE
5 - 0
LUB
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Hagen Ahrensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2013 |
HAG
2 - 2
HAR
41%
24%
36%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
DOR
1 - 0
HAG
65%
19%
16%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
HAG
1 - 3
PRE
27%
23%
50%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
HAG
2 - 3
KRO
14%
19%
67%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
HAG
0 - 3
TOD
39%
23%
38%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |