Fleetwood United vs LIWA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
3º
3º
1
6º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 44 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 41 |
2º
|
76% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 37 |
3º
|
97% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 29 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 28 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 24 |
7º
|
48% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 22 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
1 | 17 |
9º
|
33.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 15 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fleetwood United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ALH
1 - 2
FLE
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FLE
1 - 0
REG
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
GFC
0 - 6
FLE
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
FLE
4 - 1
ELI
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
ALN
0 - 0
FLE
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
LIWA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
5 - 0
LIW
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
LIW
0 - 3
LAV
25%
24%
51%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
LAL
4 - 3
LIW
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
LIW
9 - 0
MOO
75%
15%
11%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
REG
3 - 0
LIW
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |