FA Cup 1/64
Global 4-2
Fleetwood Town vs Yeovil Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fleetwood Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
FLE
3 - 0
KET
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
GAT
1 - 1
FLE
30%
26%
45%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
FLE
2 - 1
STO
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
FLE
2 - 0
WYC
52%
24%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LUT
1 - 2
FLE
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Yeovil Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
HAR
0 - 1
YEO
56%
24%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
YEO
2 - 2
EXE
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
HER
0 - 3
YEO
37%
26%
38%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 2
YEO
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
YEO
0 - 1
HUR
15%
22%
63%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | -1 |