FA Cup 1/128
Global 4-1
Fleetwood Town vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fleetwood Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
FLE
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
CUM
4 - 2
FLE
60%
22%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 0
FLE
22%
25%
54%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
BRO
2 - 1
FLE
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FLE
2 - 1
GIL
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 2
MAI
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 0
FLE
22%
25%
54%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
GUL
1 - 2
SOU
47%
26%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 0
YOR
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
SUT
23%
25%
53%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |