Fleetwood Town vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fleetwood Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
FLE
3 - 3
TRA
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
FLE
1 - 3
OLD
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FLE
0 - 2
LUT
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 0
FLE
18%
24%
58%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
FLE
2 - 2
LIN
83%
13%
5%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
NTT
0 - 2
WBA
24%
25%
51%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
NTT
3 - 1
ASV
21%
24%
55%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
NTT
2 - 0
OPA
48%
27%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HUL
2 - 1
NTT
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
REA
1 - 0
NTT
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |