Fleetwood Town vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fleetwood Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
STO
1 - 1
FLE
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CUM
2 - 3
FLE
22%
25%
53%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
FLE
2 - 3
AVI
65%
19%
16%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
FLE
49%
25%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
FLE
2 - 1
ROT
37%
25%
38%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 3
COL
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CRE
1 - 0
MOR
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
WIG
1 - 2
MOR
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 1
NEW
37%
26%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DON
1 - 0
MOR
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |