Fleetwood Town vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fleetwood Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
FLE
2 - 0
ROT
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2017 |
UNM
1 - 2
FLE
21%
25%
54%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
FLE
1 - 5
PNE
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
TRA
3 - 1
FLE
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
FLE
2 - 0
BOL
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
CUM
1 - 2
SWI
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
WOR
0 - 3
CUM
25%
24%
51%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
EXE
3 - 2
CUM
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
CUM
3 - 3
EXE
40%
24%
36%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
EXE
2 - 3
CUM
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |