Fleetwood Town vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fleetwood Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
GLO
0 - 2
FLE
14%
21%
65%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
FLE
4 - 1
NEW
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
YOR
0 - 2
FLE
34%
27%
40%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
FLE
0 - 1
SCU
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
SOU
2 - 0
FLE
33%
28%
40%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2013 |
CUM
2 - 2
WOL
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
GIL
1 - 0
CUM
51%
26%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
CUM
2 - 4
BRI
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
MKD
0 - 1
CUM
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
OLD
1 - 0
CUM
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |