FA Cup Previa 2
Global 6-3
Fleet Town vs Wincanton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
31.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fleet Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WIN
2 - 2
FLE
32%
20%
49%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 5
ALD
4%
11%
85%
|
13 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FLE
2 - 4
HOR
71%
15%
13%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
FLE
2 - 3
RED
34%
22%
44%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
JBF
5 - 1
FLE
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Wincanton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WIN
2 - 2
FLE
32%
20%
49%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
WIN
2 - 9
AFT
12%
16%
72%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
WIN
3 - 0
CAM
20%
19%
61%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 1
WIN
60%
20%
20%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
TAD
2 - 6
WIN
25%
21%
54%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |