Flavia vs CD Baio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NEG
2 - 2
FLA
46%
22%
32%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FLA
4 - 1
CAL
67%
19%
14%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 2
FLA
24%
22%
54%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 0
AGO
75%
16%
9%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SON
0 - 3
FLA
20%
21%
59%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Baio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BAY
0 - 1
COR
14%
19%
68%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BAY
2 - 1
EST
11%
19%
70%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NEG
4 - 0
BAY
82%
12%
6%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MAZ
0 - 0
BAY
25%
23%
52%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BAY
1 - 2
CAL
36%
23%
41%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |