Flandria vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
46.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 1
FLA
34%
28%
37%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FLA
0 - 0
MIT
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FER
1 - 2
FLA
55%
26%
19%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FLA
0 - 1
IRV
27%
27%
46%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 0
FLA
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
INS
4 - 0
GIM
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ALM
0 - 1
INS
32%
29%
39%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
INS
0 - 0
DAL
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 0
INS
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
INS
1 - 1
RIE
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |