Flandria vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
41.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
COM
3 - 1
FLA
46%
28%
26%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
FLA
0 - 0
COL
54%
26%
20%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
SUA
3 - 3
FLA
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
FLA
0 - 1
TEM
30%
27%
42%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
FEN
0 - 0
FLA
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
MER
0 - 0
CHI
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
MER
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
MER
0 - 1
PLA
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ACA
1 - 0
MER
32%
31%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
MER
2 - 4
AND
55%
27%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |