Flandria vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
31.2%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
31.2%
33.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 0
FLA
56%
26%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 0
RSA
22%
28%
50%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
IRV
1 - 1
FLA
53%
28%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 0
BUC
19%
26%
55%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
FER
3 - 0
FLA
62%
24%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
INS
1 - 0
ALM
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 0
ARG
27%
30%
43%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 1
ALM
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 1
GIM
29%
32%
39%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
AND
0 - 2
ALM
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +2 |