Cup Last 16
Global 5-3
Flamurtari Vlorë vs Oriku analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamurtari Vlorë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
KUK
1 - 0
FLA
65%
22%
14%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 0
VLZ
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
ORI
1 - 2
FLA
12%
18%
70%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 0
LAÇ
28%
30%
42%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 1
FLA
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Oriku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ORI
4 - 0
SKR
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
ORI
1 - 2
FLA
12%
18%
70%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
EGN
0 - 4
ORI
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ORI
2 - 0
KEL
74%
16%
11%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 1
ORI
64%
22%
15%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |