Flamurtari Vlorë vs Lushnja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
3º
8º
3º
38
7º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamurtari Vlorë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
VOR
3 - 1
FLA
49%
25%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 0
BUR
71%
19%
11%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 0
KRU
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BYL
2 - 0
FLA
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 1
LUZ
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lushnja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 0
BUR
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
TOM
0 - 3
LUS
26%
24%
51%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ELB
3 - 2
LUS
28%
24%
49%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 1
BES
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
APO
4 - 1
LUS
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |