Cup 1/16
Global 6-1
Flamurtari Vlorë vs KF Iliria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamurtari Vlorë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
TIR
3 - 0
FLA
55%
26%
19%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
ILI
1 - 0
FLA
17%
22%
61%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 0
TEU
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
VLZ
2 - 0
FLA
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FLA
5 - 0
LUF
59%
25%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
KF Iliria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ILI
0 - 0
MAM
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
ILI
1 - 0
FLA
17%
22%
61%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BUR
2 - 0
ILI
50%
25%
24%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ILI
3 - 3
ERZ
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
KAM
0 - 1
ILI
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |