Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Flamurtari Vlorë vs Besa Kavajë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
22.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamurtari Vlorë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
FLA
3 - 0
KRU
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LUF
2 - 3
FLA
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
BES
0 - 1
FLA
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BES
1 - 0
FLA
39%
27%
33%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 1
TIR
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BES
1 - 1
KFS
26%
28%
46%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
KRU
2 - 0
BES
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
BES
0 - 1
FLA
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BES
1 - 0
FLA
39%
27%
33%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LUF
0 - 2
BES
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |