Europa League Last 16
Global 2-4
Flamurtari Vlorë vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
51.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamurtari Vlorë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1987 |
FCB
4 - 1
FLA
90%
8%
3%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1987 |
FLA
2 - 0
ERZ
69%
19%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
ERZ
1 - 0
FLA
33%
26%
42%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
PAR
2 - 1
FLA
78%
13%
9%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
FLA
2 - 0
PAR
30%
23%
47%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
FCB
4 - 1
MUR
79%
14%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1987 |
MUR
0 - 3
FCB
36%
30%
34%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
FCB
3 - 1
CAD
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1987 |
FCB
4 - 1
FLA
90%
8%
3%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1987 |
BET
1 - 2
FCB
38%
29%
33%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |