Flamurtari Vlorë vs Apolonia Fier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
3º
8º
3º
46
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamurtari Vlorë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
KOR
1 - 1
FLA
31%
27%
42%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FLA
0 - 0
LUS
61%
21%
17%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
KRU
0 - 2
FLA
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FLA
0 - 1
BUR
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
TOM
1 - 4
FLA
14%
23%
63%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
APO
2 - 1
TOM
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
APO
1 - 1
KOR
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 1
APO
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
APO
2 - 0
KRU
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VOR
1 - 0
APO
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |