Flamurtari Vlorë vs AF Elbasani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+128%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
3º
8º
3º
79
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamurtari Vlorë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
VOR
2 - 3
FLA
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FLA
3 - 1
TOM
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
FLA
0 - 0
APO
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
KOR
1 - 1
FLA
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FLA
0 - 0
LUS
61%
21%
17%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AF Elbasani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ELB
1 - 0
APO
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
KOR
2 - 3
ELB
40%
26%
35%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ELB
3 - 1
LUS
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
KRU
2 - 2
ELB
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ELB
3 - 0
BUR
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |