Flaminia vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
10º
17º
17º
31
4º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 75 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 63 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 62 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 56 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 56 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 49 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 46 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 44 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 43 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 41 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 39 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 35 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 34 |
16º
|
22% | |
|
|
17º
|
16 | 28 |
17º
|
38.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 27 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 14% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 82.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
24% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
75.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flaminia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 0
FLA
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 1
SER
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FEZ
0 - 2
FLA
22%
25%
53%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
FLA
0 - 1
ORV
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 1
FLA
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
USP
1 - 2
LIV
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
USP
1 - 1
ORV
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SER
2 - 1
USP
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
USP
1 - 1
SIE
47%
25%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
GGV
1 - 2
USP
20%
24%
56%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |