Flaminia vs Orvietana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
10º
17º
17º
31
3º
17º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 75 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 63 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 62 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 56 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 56 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 49 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 46 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 44 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 43 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 41 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 39 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 35 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 34 |
16º
|
22% | |
|
|
17º
|
16 | 28 |
17º
|
38.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 27 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 84.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
24% | 12% |
|
Relegation
|
75.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flaminia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 1
FLA
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 3
GGV
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
GAV
1 - 2
FLA
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 3
FUL
75%
15%
9%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SIE
1 - 0
FLA
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Orvietana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ORV
3 - 4
SER
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ORV
0 - 0
SIE
30%
26%
44%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
GGV
1 - 2
ORV
20%
21%
59%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ORV
0 - 1
MON
41%
27%
33%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SDT
0 - 1
ORV
38%
26%
35%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |