Flaminia vs Ponsacco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
11º
5º
37
6º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
98.5% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
64% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
26.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
83.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
16.5% | 20% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 80% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flaminia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GHI
0 - 0
FLA
32%
23%
45%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
FLA
2 - 1
SER
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GRO
2 - 1
FLA
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
FLA
3 - 0
ATT
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FLA
0 - 0
ORV
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MPO
1 - 2
GAV
14%
20%
66%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ORV
1 - 0
MPO
37%
23%
40%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MPO
0 - 3
USP
17%
22%
62%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 4
MPO
66%
20%
14%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MPO
1 - 1
ASD
43%
23%
34%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |