Flaminia vs Fulgens Foligno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+442%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
9º
13º
10º
4
7º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
7 | 65 |
1º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 65 |
2º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 62 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 62 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 62 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 54 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 54 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 52 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 48 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
|
13º
|
2 | 48 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 41 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 39 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 38 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 38 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 37 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 31 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 30 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
4 | 24 |
18º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
62% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
24% | 30% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 63.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flaminia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SIE
1 - 0
FLA
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 1
ASF
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 2
MON
37%
28%
35%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
FLA
0 - 2
ULD
67%
21%
11%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
AUR
1 - 2
FLA
20%
22%
59%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fulgens Foligno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FUL
0 - 0
ASF
11%
16%
73%
|
11 | 42 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ACS
2 - 1
FUL
69%
19%
12%
|
11 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FUL
1 - 0
ATT
12%
17%
71%
|
7 | 34 | 27 | +4 |