Flamengos vs Fontinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
71.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ALI
4 - 0
FLA
84%
11%
6%
|
6 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 4
ORI
8%
16%
76%
|
8 | 49 | 41 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FLA
0 - 3
MAR
33%
23%
43%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 0
FLA
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 1
VIT
27%
24%
49%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
LUS
0 - 0
GDF
30%
22%
48%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
GDF
0 - 2
RAB
35%
27%
38%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
GDF
3 - 2
CAL
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
GDF
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
CAL
3 - 0
GDF
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |