CBF Brasileiro U20 Fase Final Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Flamengo U20 vs Vasco Da Gama U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
VAS
2 - 1
FLA
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 4
FLA
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 3
FLA
29%
24%
46%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FLA
5 - 0
FOR
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 0
FLA
13%
20%
67%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Vasco Da Gama U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
VAS
2 - 1
FLA
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 4
VAS
25%
24%
52%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 4
PAL
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 2
VAS
23%
23%
54%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
VAS
4 - 0
CEA
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |