Copa Do Brasil U20 Etapas Finales Last 16
Global 0-2
Flamengo U17 vs Vasco da Gama U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
24.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
VAS
1 - 0
FLA
32%
22%
47%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
FLA
8 - 1
ARA
90%
8%
3%
|
53 | 8 | 45 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 2
FOR
90%
8%
2%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
VAS
2 - 0
FLA
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
AME
2 - 0
FLA
8%
16%
76%
|
55 | 29 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
VAS
1 - 0
FLA
32%
22%
47%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
CEC
0 - 4
VAS
9%
14%
78%
|
48 | 9 | 39 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
VAS
1 - 2
GRE
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
VAS
29%
24%
46%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
CRU
3 - 5
VAS
20%
24%
56%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | +1 |