Flamengo SP vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 0
FLA
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
FLA
2 - 4
GUA
19%
22%
59%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 2
FLA
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 0
FLA
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 1
SAO
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
NOR
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 1
LIN
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
NOR
2 - 0
SAO
43%
25%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 0
NOR
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 3
VFC
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |