Flamengo SP vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
41.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 1
ATI
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
TUP
0 - 1
FLA
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 1
ITA
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 5
JUV
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 1
FLA
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
CAT
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
RIO
3 - 1
COM
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
VEL
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
COM
56%
26%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
COM
1 - 2
OES
24%
26%
51%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |