Flamengo SP vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
55.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
SJS
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
SAO
3 - 0
FLA
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
FLA
81%
14%
5%
|
49 | 86 | 37 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 0
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
FLA
3 - 1
NAC
35%
27%
37%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 2
SAN
8%
17%
75%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
AGU
41%
24%
35%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
AGU
3 - 1
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 1
SJS
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 1
SAO
36%
23%
41%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |