Flamengo vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
REM
2 - 3
FLA
26%
24%
50%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
COR
1 - 1
FLA
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
FLA
4 - 0
REM
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
FLA
0 - 2
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
SAO
1 - 1
FLA
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 3
PAL
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
VIT
0 - 3
SCI
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
PAL
2 - 7
VIT
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
JUV
1 - 1
VIT
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
GRE
2 - 1
VIT
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |