Flamengo vs Velo Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
17.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
11%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11%
3.2%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOA
85%
10%
4%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
TAU
1 - 0
FLA
7%
15%
78%
|
83 | 45 | 38 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FLA
2 - 0
GRÊ
75%
17%
9%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 1
BOT
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
MUR
0 - 3
FLA
10%
20%
70%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 2
VEL
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
VEL
3 - 0
TAB
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 0
PFC
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
INT
2 - 3
VEL
32%
25%
44%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 1
TAU
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |