Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FLA
3 - 1
AME
82%
13%
4%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
FLA
3 - 0
LAN
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 1
GUA
83%
12%
5%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 2
FLA
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
EME
3 - 2
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 3
VAS
9%
18%
73%
|
83 | 49 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 1
VAS
36%
24%
40%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 2
FLA
61%
22%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 2
VAS
26%
26%
48%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 4
VAS
15%
22%
63%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |