Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
37.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
CRZ
2 - 0
FLA
71%
17%
13%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
FLA
0 - 3
PAR
48%
25%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
FLA
2 - 1
ATP
45%
25%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
GUA
5 - 3
FLA
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
FLA
1 - 1
GOI
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
VAS
1 - 1
JUV
63%
22%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ATM
2 - 1
VAS
55%
22%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
PPE
2 - 2
VAS
45%
25%
31%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2003 |
VAS
2 - 1
COT
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
BAH
3 - 0
VAS
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |