Flamengo vs ULA Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
6.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 1984 |
FLA
3 - 1
GRE
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1984 |
ULA
0 - 3
FLA
23%
24%
53%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1984 |
GRE
5 - 1
FLA
49%
27%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1984 |
FLA
3 - 1
JUN
83%
11%
6%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
COR
4 - 1
FLA
38%
26%
36%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
ULA Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 1984 |
GRE
6 - 1
ULA
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1984 |
ULA
0 - 2
GRE
2%
17%
82%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 1984 |
ULA
0 - 3
FLA
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1984 |
ULA
2 - 1
SPC
39%
24%
37%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
SPC
2 - 0
ULA
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |